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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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so, why is the romney campaign telling poll volunteers to be purposely deceptive? think progress obtained audio from one of the training sessions. here is the person leading the session. >> we'll have you sign in. >> animosity? they say this has been going on for years, republicans and democrats do it. it's a legal and necessary of free and fair elections, but the romney campaign doesn't want voters to know they're there. gee, i wonder why. joining me now is scott who broke the story for think progress and joe madison, nationally syndicated radio host from sirius/xm the power. thanks to both of you for being here tonight. >> thanks for having me. >> scott, what can you tell us about your reporting? anything from the campaign? >> think progress obtained this document that is being used in romney poll watcher trainings around the state. we identified as many as 17 such trainings that occurred in the last month. not only are they being instrucked to sign in at the polls as a concerned citizen rather than mentioned -- or disclose any affiliation with the romney campaig
so, why is the romney campaign telling poll volunteers to be purposely deceptive? think progress obtained audio from one of the training sessions. here is the person leading the session. >> we'll have you sign in. >> animosity? they say this has been going on for years, republicans and democrats do it. it's a legal and necessary of free and fair elections, but the romney campaign doesn't want voters to know they're there. gee, i wonder why. joining me now is scott who broke the...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail
romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters....
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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the latest polls. for mr. romney, desperate times call for desperate measures and it doesn't matter how much the truth suffers. joining me now is pulitzer prize connie schultz. she writes today, why romly will lose ohio. hint, hint. and dana milbank, columnist for "the washington post." he's writing that romney goes off road with the truth. thanks for being here tonight. connie, let me start with you. you were born and raised in ohio with ties to the auto industry. >> yes. >> how are ohioans responding to this false attack by romney and ryan? >> that's what is interesting to me. i come from these people. i come from utility workers and auto plant workers and steel workers. i think romney thinks that the people that i come from are stupid. but i've been traveling all over the state. i was in three different towns today and i've been at a lot of packed halls with auto workers and people who supply the auto industry. you're talking about 800,000 jobs in auto-related jobs in ohio, which means you're talkin
the latest polls. for mr. romney, desperate times call for desperate measures and it doesn't matter how much the truth suffers. joining me now is pulitzer prize connie schultz. she writes today, why romly will lose ohio. hint, hint. and dana milbank, columnist for "the washington post." he's writing that romney goes off road with the truth. thanks for being here tonight. connie, let me start with you. you were born and raised in ohio with ties to the auto industry. >> yes....
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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one area where romney's people are talking aboutpanding the map, michigan. >> a new poll finds mitt romney is closing in on president obama's once-comfortable lead in that state. "the detroit news"/local 4 poll found among likely voters, the race has tightened to be within the margin of error. earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our future launched a $2.2 million ad, and the obama campaign is countering with its first network tv ads in michigan. the ads are expected to begin airing today and will run through election day. >> so mark halperin, michigan. i'm sorry. >> go ahead. >> michigan. that's a good poll, right? >> it is. >> michigan's in play now. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to
one area where romney's people are talking aboutpanding the map, michigan. >> a new poll finds mitt romney is closing in on president obama's once-comfortable lead in that state. "the detroit news"/local 4 poll found among likely voters, the race has tightened to be within the margin of error. earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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"time" magazine poll shows the president, 49% governor romney, 44%. the poll surveyed those who will vote on election day. also polled some early voters as well. could the absentee voting situation in the buckeye state, could it change the numbers as we get closer to election day? >> oh, absolutely. at this point we've had close to a million actually cast so far. as i mentioned we have another 800,000 out. and in ohio you can still through next saturday, the saturday before the election ask for an absentee ballot application. so we've got hundreds of thousands of these coming in. and to go back to the points i made at the outset, you add all the categories of uncounted votes together and it could easily flip a 51/49, 52/48 elect the other way. >> barry, you've been covering ohio for some time. now you're more familiar with the situation than just about anyone in the country. give me odds here. give me likelihood. how do you think this thing plays out there? >> well, the polls are so close. we in fact have another one coming out in our own paper tomorr
"time" magazine poll shows the president, 49% governor romney, 44%. the poll surveyed those who will vote on election day. also polled some early voters as well. could the absentee voting situation in the buckeye state, could it change the numbers as we get closer to election day? >> oh, absolutely. at this point we've had close to a million actually cast so far. as i mentioned we have another 800,000 out. and in ohio you can still through next saturday, the saturday before the...
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Nov 2, 2012
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in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people say there is off the recoorecord reporters ae time. if you look at the economists the center right conservative publication, what you see is that the presiden
in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg...
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Nov 2, 2012
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since then romney has dropped in the polls. if you look at the clear politics average of polls, romney has gone from about leading boo i a point and now barack obama last i looked earlier today was up by 0.3, 0.4. usually what happens to momentum is a number of things happen that take the race away from where it fundamentally is. a very close race becomes a three or four-point lead for obama or two or three-point lead for romney. before the media registers this is of a real thing, we begin calling it momentum. whatever run of good luck or unusual news or a very bad debate was happening and distorting the fundamental nature of the race has ended and the race pulls back to where it was originally which is a very close election with a persistent lead for president obama in swing states. that's exactly what you're seeing here. so my advice to partisans is when people begin calling momentum on their candidate, be prepared for things to be about to turn around in the polls. >> lastly, if i can, ezra, on a different topic, your hero a
since then romney has dropped in the polls. if you look at the clear politics average of polls, romney has gone from about leading boo i a point and now barack obama last i looked earlier today was up by 0.3, 0.4. usually what happens to momentum is a number of things happen that take the race away from where it fundamentally is. a very close race becomes a three or four-point lead for obama or two or three-point lead for romney. before the media registers this is of a real thing, we begin...
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Nov 3, 2012
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we'll win ohio. >> new polls show president obama polling ahead of mitt romney among likely voters in the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and mitt romney will within 234. and the great thing about next week is i will no longer have to say ppp poll. i'm done with that poll. these polls are tight. these polls, you know, i refuse to use the language the poll shows president obama winning 50, because every one of these polls is within the margin of error. every one of them. so they are really showing something that could be a tie, could
we'll win ohio. >> new polls show president obama polling ahead of mitt romney among likely voters in the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in florida. about two million people in a week. because of early voting, democrats have an edge and ballots cast of about 104,000 over republicans. republicans usually do well at mail and absentee ballots. democrats dominate early voting. but guess what? the legislature, rick scott shortened the early voting days. and relative to the early voting hours we had in 2008 in south florida, they essentially cut them by 22% or about 24 hours. so it's going to make a difference. what we're going to see on election day now is a lot of those folks who probably would have early voted, they're going to show up on election day and cast ballots. so the question is how many of these people are actually voting for obama? how many are voting for romney? obviously we don'
the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in florida. about two million people in a week. because of early voting, democrats have an edge and ballots cast of about 104,000 over republicans. republicans...
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Nov 1, 2012
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and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. and that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. they're pouring in over 4 million bucks in pennsylvania, 2 million in michigan, and about $1 million in minnesota. well, the obama campaign has said they're going to match all that, go to the air waves to match one that. what we're watching is both sides probably spinning their case. republicans say they're seizing new opportunities, in other words, they
and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan,...
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Nov 4, 2012
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because the reality there is that it has improved. >> john, every credible poll shows romney behind in ohio. do you see it plausible he takes that state? >> the plausible scenario for mitt romney in ohio and other battleground states that are very close like florida or virginia, colorado, that sort of thing, the intensity, the enthusiasm for romney, the zeal of his electle electoral rat, te is built around enthusiasm and what the likely voters screens produce. what we're seeing nationally in our poll today is a 48%/47% race. there's a bit of a mystery to that. it's part art and part science. a surge for change, which is the montra that romney's adopted in the closing days. >> don't you guys ever change, never. thanks so much. >>> will the election be remembered for one key event that changed the tide? a new poll suggests that might be the case. "weekends with alex witt" live continues after this. [ mom ] 3 days into school break and they're already bored. hmm, we need a new game. ♪ that'll save the day. ♪ so will bounty select-a-size. it's the smaller powerful sheet. the only on
because the reality there is that it has improved. >> john, every credible poll shows romney behind in ohio. do you see it plausible he takes that state? >> the plausible scenario for mitt romney in ohio and other battleground states that are very close like florida or virginia, colorado, that sort of thing, the intensity, the enthusiasm for romney, the zeal of his electle electoral rat, te is built around enthusiasm and what the likely voters screens produce. what we're seeing...
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Oct 31, 2012
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and a new npr poll has romney up 48-47, again, one point. but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. >>> i will come on "morning joe" are you sure you can fit in there? [ chuckles ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] around view monitor with bird's-eye view. nice work. [ male announcer ] introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >>> i will come on "morning joe" and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. th
and a new npr poll has romney up 48-47, again, one point. but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. >>> i will come on "morning joe" are you sure you can fit in there? [ chuckles ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] around view monitor with bird's-eye view. nice work. [ male announcer ] introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪...
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Nov 3, 2012
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there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that question so predictive when we make people into mini anthropologists. >> it's what people are hearing. people are hearing stuff about romney. the average person, you know, has an idea that the president is still pretty popular. that makes them think that, you know, most voters or swing voters will tilt a little more i
there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones....
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Nov 1, 2012
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romney has a poll problem. he's behind. he's behind in almost every single one of the battleground states. if he loses ohio, he has to win everything else virtually. >> so he's dropping -- of course, the super pacs are dropping a bunch of money in the states that you mentioned. five days can be an eternity with that kind of money. >> the reason they're spending the money there, they can't spend any more in the other states. all the time is bought. they have more money than runway. look, we've seen this before. in 2000, karl rove said, george w. bush was going to win california. they spent millions and millions of dollars on advertising there. they sent bush out there, precious time, near the end of the campaign. i said, tad devine, carter, those of us involved in that campaign, so we're not spending one dime in california, and gore won the state by 1.3 million votes. the wish can't become father to the reality, which is what's going on here. >> like a team trying to talk their way to a championship instead of playing the ga
romney has a poll problem. he's behind. he's behind in almost every single one of the battleground states. if he loses ohio, he has to win everything else virtually. >> so he's dropping -- of course, the super pacs are dropping a bunch of money in the states that you mentioned. five days can be an eternity with that kind of money. >> the reason they're spending the money there, they can't spend any more in the other states. all the time is bought. they have more money than runway....
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Nov 3, 2012
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some of the more local polls in florida have put romney ahead. i think it's still a nail biter in florida. could go either way. but it's for sure romney's need to win state. >> okay, pennsylvania now with you, perry. the romney camp appears to be making a play for that state, spending about $10 million in ad right now. mitt romney is adding a stop there tomorrow. paul ryan will be there today. there are a lot of theories on why his camp is doing this. what's your take, perry? >> my theory is they're struggling in ohio so much they have to try to make a play somewhere else. the president probably can't win the elections without winning pennsylvania. that said he's been leading in every poll in pennsylvania throughout this race. romney hasn't campaigned in pennsylvania up until now. last ditch effort a little desperate i think. but it shows you the challenge they're having in ohio where the president has maintained the lead throughout this race and no republican has ever won without winning ohio. that's why they're looking for other options, the ro
some of the more local polls in florida have put romney ahead. i think it's still a nail biter in florida. could go either way. but it's for sure romney's need to win state. >> okay, pennsylvania now with you, perry. the romney camp appears to be making a play for that state, spending about $10 million in ad right now. mitt romney is adding a stop there tomorrow. paul ryan will be there today. there are a lot of theories on why his camp is doing this. what's your take, perry? >> my...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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however, a usc poll shows the president up 14 points, 54% to romney's 40%. we're seeing a lot of lean blue or solid blue states is romney overperforming mccain's numbers all over the place. that is why this idea, the battlegrounds are not shifting, not moving. we are seeing the movement in romney's direction in the nonbattleground states. what does that mean? well, that's why so many people believe that there is a possibility for that split between the popular vote and the battlegrounds. it's a possibility, frankly, though, it is not a probability. all right, hurricane sandy is forcing wall street to shut down today. the first time in 27 years that the new york stock exchange has been closed due to weather. cnbc's becky quick is here for "the market rundown." it's kind of surprising. did that happen because they shut down the subway and public transportation? >> you know, that was the first of many stages that went through it. wall street is down very close to zone "a," which has been a mandatory evacuation area. it is not in zone "a," but there was concern
however, a usc poll shows the president up 14 points, 54% to romney's 40%. we're seeing a lot of lean blue or solid blue states is romney overperforming mccain's numbers all over the place. that is why this idea, the battlegrounds are not shifting, not moving. we are seeing the movement in romney's direction in the nonbattleground states. what does that mean? well, that's why so many people believe that there is a possibility for that split between the popular vote and the battlegrounds. it's a...
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Oct 29, 2012
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there's a new tracking poll out. it shows the president aahead of romney 49% to 48%. that's a three point swing in his direction from last week. before we get to politics, i want to bring in meteorologist bill karins to give us the latest on the storm. bill, where sandy is taking a slight left turn, right? >> she started the turn. this is the amazing part of the storm, history-making part of the storm. what's incredible is this is still a hurricane towards the end of october, and not only is it still a hurricane, it looks like it strengthens before landfall. we have 10 hours to go before landfall. this may not be a hybrid storm at landfall. it may be a plain, old hurricane. look at what i'm talking about on the screen. i circled the eye of the storm. you can still clearly make out the eye, and there's new thunderstorms of convection firing up on the northwest corner of the eye. if that holds together to landfall, we will have a hurricane landfall. those are semantics. it doesn't really matter. that's for the history books. regardless, you have hurricane-force winds on
there's a new tracking poll out. it shows the president aahead of romney 49% to 48%. that's a three point swing in his direction from last week. before we get to politics, i want to bring in meteorologist bill karins to give us the latest on the storm. bill, where sandy is taking a slight left turn, right? >> she started the turn. this is the amazing part of the storm, history-making part of the storm. what's incredible is this is still a hurricane towards the end of october, and not only...
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Nov 2, 2012
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the real clear politics shows president obama with 47.4% in national polls, mitt romney has 47.3% the new york times 538 blog says that if the election were held today, the president would win 303 electoral votes and romney would win 235. 270 are needed to win the white house. the times blog gives the president an 81% chance of winning the election. romney has a 19% chance. and as of tonight, 25 million people have already voted but long lines are creating a serious situation in some parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be fru
the real clear politics shows president obama with 47.4% in national polls, mitt romney has 47.3% the new york times 538 blog says that if the election were held today, the president would win 303 electoral votes and romney would win 235. 270 are needed to win the white house. the times blog gives the president an 81% chance of winning the election. romney has a 19% chance. and as of tonight, 25 million people have already voted but long lines are creating a serious situation in some parts of...
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Nov 1, 2012
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it tells you more than i think the polling itself. mitt romney in virginia. the president begins his blitz. all nonstop travel from here on out. we'll be right back. ♪ [ male announcer ] it's time for medicare open enrollment. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, or both. and check out the preventive benefits you get after the health care law. ♪ medicare open enrollment. now's the time. visit medicare.gov or call 1-800-medicare. ♪ i'd like to thank eating right, whole grain, multigrain cheerios! mom, are those my jeans? [ female announcer ] people who choose more whole grain tend to weigh less than those who don't. multigrain cheerios get on e-trade. set up a real plan. frank! oh wow, you didn't win? i wanna show you something... it's my shocked face. [ gasps ] [ male announcer ] get a retirement plan that works... at e-trade. >>> i guess we're going to say it's eight battleground states now since none is going to north carolina. wh
it tells you more than i think the polling itself. mitt romney in virginia. the president begins his blitz. all nonstop travel from here on out. we'll be right back. ♪ [ male announcer ] it's time for medicare open enrollment. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, or both. and check out the preventive benefits you get after the health care law. ♪ medicare open...
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Oct 27, 2012
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if mitt romney wins the election he'll win with white voters. we've seen that polling data. the challenges as a governing president, do you want to just win elections with just white voters? women don't really like you, african-americans, latinos. that's the -- >> the gender gap is nowhere near where the racial gap is. >> it's huge for the race. >> we are now headed -- there's a headline yesterday for editors, the most racially polarized election since 1988. that was the famous election of willy horton. that's the direction in which this is headed. >> wow. >> it's a question about whether those political coalitions are that way. >> right. i think the democratic coalition is growing. you can see texas is trending democratic. that is an enormous state. although they have something written into their constitution where they can divide into five states, i don't think they can g jerry manned der every voter. >> they might just try. >> let me remind you that they can't. i actually was with the texas delegation for much of the democratic convention. my family is from texas. i knew
if mitt romney wins the election he'll win with white voters. we've seen that polling data. the challenges as a governing president, do you want to just win elections with just white voters? women don't really like you, african-americans, latinos. that's the -- >> the gender gap is nowhere near where the racial gap is. >> it's huge for the race. >> we are now headed -- there's a headline yesterday for editors, the most racially polarized election since 1988. that was the...
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on both of these issues, poll after poll, shows that mitt romney is the guy that american people believe can make those things happen. >> shawn spicer from the republican national committee, thank you very much. >>> up next, does the obama campaign think that pennsylvania is in play? [ female announcer ] caroline penry began using olay total effects in 2001. since then, there's been one wedding, 2 kids, and 43 bottles of olay total effects. so in spite of 185 tantrums 378 pre-dawn starts and a lot of birthdays, caroline still looks amazing. you can challenge what's possible thanks to the trusted performance of olay. 60 years, millions of women, real results. introducing the new droid razr maxx hd by motorola. now more than ever droid does. try running four.ning a restaurant is hard, fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from chase. to volunteer to help those in ne
on both of these issues, poll after poll, shows that mitt romney is the guy that american people believe can make those things happen. >> shawn spicer from the republican national committee, thank you very much. >>> up next, does the obama campaign think that pennsylvania is in play? [ female announcer ] caroline penry began using olay total effects in 2001. since then, there's been one wedding, 2 kids, and 43 bottles of olay total effects. so in spite of 185 tantrums 378...
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Oct 30, 2012
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a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't much more campaigning to be done over the next few days that's where the states will essentially stand. and this campaign was put on a forced indefinite hiatus as both sides were starting to make their closing arguments. on the democratic side here's what's going to end up being the closing argument for the obama campaign. this ad is reportedly set to run in florida, iowa, ohio and virginia. in here, it's just you. no adtion, no debates, just you. so think about this -- mitt romney's plan rolls back regulations on the banks that crashed our economy. medicare, voucher. catastrophic cuts to education, millionaires who get one of the largest tax cuts ever, while middle-class families pay more. that's what mitt romney wants to bring more. remember that when you go here -- >> i'm barack obama and i approved this message. >> no more ads and no
a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't much more campaigning to be done over the next few days that's where the states will essentially stand. and this campaign was put on a forced indefinite hiatus as both sides were starting to make their closing arguments. on the democratic side here's what's going to end up being...
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Oct 30, 2012
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the tracking poll is likely voters has romney up by 5 percentage points. a new washington post abc tracking poll of likely voters has the race even at 49% apiece, a pew research center survey has the candidates not among likely voters, 47% each, can you believe this? and it's still hard to get a sense as to who has the upper hand in key swing states. in florida, a cnn/orc poll has romney up by just one point well within the margin of error. and in north carolina, where democrats held their convention last month, a university poll has it even 45% to 45%. >> mark haleprin, can't get much closer everywhere. >> i mean -- >> and minnesota, minnesota is not even a key swing state. you've got bill clinton going in because a new poll shows mitt romney within the margin of error in minnesota. plus, you have some information about some space where the republicans are about to start rushing in and putting up campaign ads that are not states that the obama team thought they would have to worry about one week out. >> we're going to go into election day not knowing. i d
the tracking poll is likely voters has romney up by 5 percentage points. a new washington post abc tracking poll of likely voters has the race even at 49% apiece, a pew research center survey has the candidates not among likely voters, 47% each, can you believe this? and it's still hard to get a sense as to who has the upper hand in key swing states. in florida, a cnn/orc poll has romney up by just one point well within the margin of error. and in north carolina, where democrats held their...
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Oct 27, 2012
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if you look at the polls there it appears mitt romney will carry the state. none of the states are off the board. nine states elections close in all the places. ohio, florida, new hampshire, colorado. you note whole list. you'll see the candidates in those places very much in the next two weeks. >> okay. there is a new "washington post" report, perry, that says -- considering a new cut which could change the payroll tax at the end of the year. >> this is not a campaign story. this is about what happens later. obama is really talking about what he's already done and other policies in terms of the campaign. this is an idea, the payroll tax cut is due to expire. this is a cut that has been very useful to economic growth. they've been looking for awhile for new ways to make sure taxes remain low because that helps the americans spend money and helps the economy to grow. >> sit tight for just a minute because mitt romney has taken to the stage there at pensacola at the civic center. let's listen to what he's saying. >> silly word games and attacks on me. look, att
if you look at the polls there it appears mitt romney will carry the state. none of the states are off the board. nine states elections close in all the places. ohio, florida, new hampshire, colorado. you note whole list. you'll see the candidates in those places very much in the next two weeks. >> okay. there is a new "washington post" report, perry, that says -- considering a new cut which could change the payroll tax at the end of the year. >> this is not a campaign...
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Oct 29, 2012
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the latest "washington post"/abc tracking poll, 49/48, mitt romney by a point which is -- >> we've had for the last three days of tracks we've had it 49 romney, 48 obama. it's a statistical tie. we haven't had it any more of a three-point difference. >> we checked with the department of labor, and contrary to some reports including one of the major newspapers on-line there is no problem with the jobs report, the jobs report for good or bad is coming on friday. >> which -- >> they've collected the data. >> which we all thought was going to be the big thing before the election, was this last jobs report. now it's a secondary story by far compared to the storm. >> chris cizilla, thank you so much for everything. >> sure. >> and hurricane sandy is gaining steam. this massive storm is now targeting the eastern seaboard. we'll be live next right here on "andrea mitchell reports." hi, i'm amy for downy unstopables in-wash scent boosters, here with my favorite new intern, jimmy. mmm! fresh! and it's been in the closet for 12 weeks! unbelievable! unstopables! i'll show you how! ♪ just shake t
the latest "washington post"/abc tracking poll, 49/48, mitt romney by a point which is -- >> we've had for the last three days of tracks we've had it 49 romney, 48 obama. it's a statistical tie. we haven't had it any more of a three-point difference. >> we checked with the department of labor, and contrary to some reports including one of the major newspapers on-line there is no problem with the jobs report, the jobs report for good or bad is coming on friday. >>...
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Oct 31, 2012
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in the swing state polls the president is winning or tied with mitt romney in florida, virginia, ohio. >> well, what it is, it's a head game. what the romney campaign is doing because they're flush with cash, they're spending money in these states to play a little bit of offense here so that the obama campaign can kind of say oh, my goodness, they're spending money here, we have to shore up our base and we need to divert some of the resources from ohio, from perhaps florida and virginia -- >> but don't they both have enough money to be in 50 states? there's so much money. >> well, yes and know. we don't know that but i have a sneaking suspicion and chris can probably confirm this on the democratic side is that both sides are just assuming there may be a recount so they want to have enough money in the bank to make sure that they can have enough resources if in case there is a recount after the election. >> is that what's going on here, chris? >> i'm not sure it's that. this happens in campaigns at the end when you get closer and closer. each campaign is trying to find a place where th
in the swing state polls the president is winning or tied with mitt romney in florida, virginia, ohio. >> well, what it is, it's a head game. what the romney campaign is doing because they're flush with cash, they're spending money in these states to play a little bit of offense here so that the obama campaign can kind of say oh, my goodness, they're spending money here, we have to shore up our base and we need to divert some of the resources from ohio, from perhaps florida and virginia...
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Nov 2, 2012
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the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwest, excuse me. of these 14 states, the states everybody's going to be watching are three. colorado, michigan, and wisconsin. here's what it looks like right now in those states. polling average in the state of colorado, it's very close. president obama ahead by less than a point. in michigan, it's president obama ahead by three points. and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four s
the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwest, excuse me. of these 14 states, the states...
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Oct 29, 2012
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then you see the ohio poll, "the des moines register" endorsement, polls that seem to favor mitt romney. can you remember an election, harold, where there were as many cross-currents that picked up a trend to tell you this one is going to win the election. >> since i've been able to vote in '92, it may have been the closest, but it was clear that clinton was surging, '96, 2000. 2000 obviously was a close race, but you didn't have these kind of dynamics and histrionics and emotion at the end. i agree with what john heilemann said last week about ohio. without autos, without auto manufacturing, it would be very hard to see how the obama team can continue to have excitement and emotional momentum on their side in ohio. it could very well be that the car situation and the help that this administration provided could be the stonewall. however, you look at this momentum, and mike, you follow campaigns. you follow political efforts. and when you have this kind of momentum heading into the final week, it's got to be a good feeling for the romney campaign as they look at the last eight days of w
then you see the ohio poll, "the des moines register" endorsement, polls that seem to favor mitt romney. can you remember an election, harold, where there were as many cross-currents that picked up a trend to tell you this one is going to win the election. >> since i've been able to vote in '92, it may have been the closest, but it was clear that clinton was surging, '96, 2000. 2000 obviously was a close race, but you didn't have these kind of dynamics and histrionics and...
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>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs, which is way above the 125,000 predicted, and now we have three months of 170,000-plus. >> you notice -- >> so it is starting to go up substantially. >> if you compare it to what happened when -- four years ago, i think they lost 400,000 jobs or so this month, it is change for the better. i notice -- >> i'd say. >> i notice today there was a lot less arguing about these jobs numbers than there have been the last -- >> you spoke too soon. someone who wasn't pleased with the jobs report was mitt romney. here he is with his statement. the candidate said, quote, this is a state
>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs,...
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Nov 3, 2012
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ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because of that op-ed that he wrote in 2008 titled let detroit go bankrupt. so when he even mentions the auto bailout it only turns the focus back to him in a have all of these local papers there really point to the fact that he has this ad out alleging jeep is transferring zwrobs china basically calling it a flat out lie. this hasn't been a good look to him. he moved to pennsylvania. as we know over the last many elections pennsylvania has been a solidly blue state. you see republican candidates in the last minutes of this campaign, last stage of this campaign historical
ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because...
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in florida, a cnn/orc poll has romney up a point. of course, that's within the margin of error. they are tied there. in north carolina where democrats held their convention last month has it tied 45%-45%. you can e-mail me at "waytooearly and let me know what you're seeing outside your window this morning. tell me about the storm and how you're dealing with sandy. at the top of the hour with "morning joe," much more on the fallout. the storm impacting the east coast for what could be days and weeks to come. and when we come back here, we'll check out david letterman and jimmy fallon hosting their respective shows here in new york last night but doing it with no audience for its own safety. that clip whether "wn "way too comes back. [ male announcer ] do you have the legal protection you need? at legalzoom, we've created a better place to turn for your legal matters. maybe you want to incorporate a business you'd like to start. or protect your family with a will or living trust. legalzoom makes it easy with step-by-step help when completing your personalized document -- or you ca
in florida, a cnn/orc poll has romney up a point. of course, that's within the margin of error. they are tied there. in north carolina where democrats held their convention last month has it tied 45%-45%. you can e-mail me at "waytooearly and let me know what you're seeing outside your window this morning. tell me about the storm and how you're dealing with sandy. at the top of the hour with "morning joe," much more on the fallout. the storm impacting the east coast for what...
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Oct 31, 2012
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a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think it would be a position now where minnesota could be in play or oregon. we see polls with the races in mid single digits in the states and minnesota right now and finally talking about it a little bit. romney doesn't have a single field office there. they didn't make the effort and stuck trying to win ohio. i don't think they can. >> just to be clear, giving alaska to romney? >> that's in -- leaning. >> bold. >> to your point, we did the maps se
a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the...
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looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours and if that will stop him from overtaking the president.an >> tom brokaw, you have seen this before, and you have the ultimate political foe of the president giving him such high marks. a republican and a democrat working together, leadership at the highest level, and this has been a problem for the president. >> the president reached across party lines. some of our polling people have been talking to undecided voters out there in colorado and other places, and they saw the president as a leader in a way they had not before, because nothing like a hurricane or national tragedy of this magnitude creates empathy across the country. it's not just confined to connecticut and new jersey and new york. people everywhere can say, that could be me, and how did the president handle himself? i think it did help him and hurt romney by freezing his campaign. but the fact is, this thing has been moving every 48 hours or so, we
looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours and if that will stop him from overtaking the president.an >> tom brokaw, you have seen this before, and you have the ultimate political foe of the president giving him such high marks. a republican and a democrat working together, leadership at the highest level, and this has been a problem for the president. >> the president reached across party lines. some of our...
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we've seen polls where governor romney is up. we've seen polls that are tied. we've seen polls that have us a couple of points down. i think it is essentially an extremely close race that's going to come down to the wire but we feel very good. if you take a look at what's happening on the ground in virginia with the early vote. one thing that people need to start paying attention to is where the early votes are coming in in northern virginia, right outside of washington, d.c. we've seen the democrat participation in those counts has gone down since 2008 and we've actually ours go up. so that's going to be something that everybody should watch out for over the next couple of days. >> let's talk about quickly, early voting here in florida. yesterday we were in miami, today we're in gainesville, in-person early voting started in the sunshine state and i've got to tell you based on the folks i've talked to. based on what i've seen. the gop appears to be in real trouble when it comes to early in-person voting. why is that? >> we're ahead of the obama campaign in abs
we've seen polls where governor romney is up. we've seen polls that are tied. we've seen polls that have us a couple of points down. i think it is essentially an extremely close race that's going to come down to the wire but we feel very good. if you take a look at what's happening on the ground in virginia with the early vote. one thing that people need to start paying attention to is where the early votes are coming in in northern virginia, right outside of washington, d.c. we've seen the...
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and governor romney on the ground in ohio. the governor is expected to address supporters this hour. garrett headacake is traveling governor romney. we know the importance of the auto bailout in ohio. chris was on with with andrea mitchell. he said if romney doesn't win ohio, he doesn't win the white house here. what is the romney campaign saying that you have top officials from gm and chrysler all asserting that the attack add, the notion of jobs going to china is faps. what are they saying at in the point about the auto bailout for those who will vote in ohio. >> it's fascinating. on the campaign trail this is not an issue governor romney mentioned to advisers. they're standing by the ad. they say over time there will be effects from the auto bailout on this. this is not something he talks about with reporters. it's interesting they put this add out. they focus on ohio like governor romney gave in other states over the last few days. that's essentially the idea the auto bailout is aside, president obama failed on the economy
and governor romney on the ground in ohio. the governor is expected to address supporters this hour. garrett headacake is traveling governor romney. we know the importance of the auto bailout in ohio. chris was on with with andrea mitchell. he said if romney doesn't win ohio, he doesn't win the white house here. what is the romney campaign saying that you have top officials from gm and chrysler all asserting that the attack add, the notion of jobs going to china is faps. what are they saying at...
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but one thing to say is i trust the nbc polls, i trust cbs's polls. i don't trust a lot of fly by night organizations that i haven't heard of before. this go around all campaign and get averaged in, saying gee, romney is doing well. take nevada. mark marn el who called the race in 2010 has done two different polls in nfr. one showing the president six ahead. one showing the president eight ahead. john ral ston, best reporter out there, says the president will win nevada. it is not a one or two-point race. >> it has 20 t.o do with young people, nafr americans and we don't pick up the phone. if you are undersampling -- >> which is why the president made appeals. i interviewed him this morning and he was directly appealing it people to come out. let me play you a clip of what he said. >> well you know, what we are happy about is the enthusiasm we see in voters. there was a lot of talk during the course of this election is that maybe the folks who are trying to get me out of office would be more enthusiastic about the folks who want it keep me there. but
but one thing to say is i trust the nbc polls, i trust cbs's polls. i don't trust a lot of fly by night organizations that i haven't heard of before. this go around all campaign and get averaged in, saying gee, romney is doing well. take nevada. mark marn el who called the race in 2010 has done two different polls in nfr. one showing the president six ahead. one showing the president eight ahead. john ral ston, best reporter out there, says the president will win nevada. it is not a one or...
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Nov 1, 2012
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you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is interesting. and i think it speaks to the idea that although romney is definitely not giving up on ohio by any means, you know, you do get a sense that they are trying to work these contingency plans. how can we do this without ohio? you know, can we get wisconsin and iowa, you know, you guys have been talking about the ad spending they're doing in pennsylvania and michigan, can they pick off these other states? honestly, i think at the end of the day, it comes down to ohio. and obama has a kiconsistent le in the polling there. by the way, something i'd love to know is what is
you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is...
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you see, a "usa today" gallop poll found that governor romney pulled within one point of president obama among women who are likely voters in battleground states spop when you look even closer at the supposed coalition of women supporting president obama you find that they're not necessarily coalescing and their gender. in 2008 president obama's largest base of supporters were african-american women. his supporters were also latin thats, young women, same-same-sex loving women, women who have travelled the many roads that lead to the intersection where our identities meet. what matters most is that women show up for ourselves because, as we've seen over the last year, if we don't, there are those who will be happy to show up for us. the importance of showing up even when the door gets slammed in your face wasn't lost on the woman who is with me today. she is a face who was missing from that congressional hearing, sandra fluk, women's health care advocate and graduate from georgetown university. she joins me with karen finney, msnbc political analyst, columnist for "the hill" and victoria
you see, a "usa today" gallop poll found that governor romney pulled within one point of president obama among women who are likely voters in battleground states spop when you look even closer at the supposed coalition of women supporting president obama you find that they're not necessarily coalescing and their gender. in 2008 president obama's largest base of supporters were african-american women. his supporters were also latin thats, young women, same-same-sex loving women, women...
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Oct 29, 2012
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the latest cnnle poll gives the president a four-point lead over governor romney. the president is struggling with white voters. 41% among white men. let me play what senator jim webb said to chuck todd on this issue. take a listen. >> how in the name of the lord can the democratic party, the party of andrew jackson, only be getting 28 periods of time of the white male working class vote? from my perspective it's because of the interest group politics in the democratic party, that particular cultural group doesn't believe the democrats like that. >> are some white voters turned off by the democratic party? if so, where does the popular clinton factor come in? >> the president is there and will be in ohio for a reason. the president can bring into focus the idea that with the right economic policies and if you stick with it, as we did in 1995 and 1996, prosperity comes along. the real key numbers in ohio are look at the unemployment rate when the president came into office and where it is now. it's down i think nearly 50%. the auto bailout, some of the president's i
the latest cnnle poll gives the president a four-point lead over governor romney. the president is struggling with white voters. 41% among white men. let me play what senator jim webb said to chuck todd on this issue. take a listen. >> how in the name of the lord can the democratic party, the party of andrew jackson, only be getting 28 periods of time of the white male working class vote? from my perspective it's because of the interest group politics in the democratic party, that...
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you guys had a poll out today, 51-45 that had romney ahead. this seems to be saturday same story that larry is hearing in virginia, i hear in florida, where the two sides insist they're ahead because they believe in two different world views of what the electorate is going to look like. >> i hear the same thing that both sides are convinced they're up by a point or two and this is a margin of error race. today was the last day of early voting in florida. democrats are up about 104,000 votes over republican votes, but that's significantly less than the advantage they had four years ago. >> a number i heard adam was 160, i think, is what somebody told me if they get to 160, 200, somewhere in that range, they think they can win -- that they'll get enough on election day to pull that off. that sounds like they're going to fall short. >> it's sounds like they're going to fall short and we've got early voting lines of five hours in more in places like miami. i saw a thousand people waiting in line in st. petersburg today. if they come slightly short
you guys had a poll out today, 51-45 that had romney ahead. this seems to be saturday same story that larry is hearing in virginia, i hear in florida, where the two sides insist they're ahead because they believe in two different world views of what the electorate is going to look like. >> i hear the same thing that both sides are convinced they're up by a point or two and this is a margin of error race. today was the last day of early voting in florida. democrats are up about 104,000...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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and there are other polls in these swing states that show romney closer or ahead. right now there's a danger for governor romney, that elites are starting to think in the last 24 hours that these leads are, as the obama campaign has said for a long time, small but persistent and consistent. and i think they do not affect the coverage that much, but there's a bit of a tipping point. here. romney needs to go into the weekend for his own sake with the race tied in the conventional wisdom rather than what some people are now saying that these polls suggest that the president will win this with the electoral college dominance that he's had. >> these polls are pre-sandy? >> yes. >> obviously you factor that in. >> mike, is that consistent with what you're hearing including republican elites suggesting that -- some republican elites suggesting that president obama is inching ahead here? >> it is. and you're already hearing republicans hint that if mitt romney loses, that he'll blame the storm. the people around him will cite that as a cause, that they had momentum. but it
and there are other polls in these swing states that show romney closer or ahead. right now there's a danger for governor romney, that elites are starting to think in the last 24 hours that these leads are, as the obama campaign has said for a long time, small but persistent and consistent. and i think they do not affect the coverage that much, but there's a bit of a tipping point. here. romney needs to go into the weekend for his own sake with the race tied in the conventional wisdom rather...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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a cnn poll has president obama leading mitt romney by four points, 50% to 46%. a new england college poll of new hampshire likely voters has president obama leading mitt romney by three points, 49 to 46. tonight, nate silver of the new york times blog forecasts that on november 6th, president obama has a 74% chance of winning re-election and over 13 point increase in the last two weeks. nate silver projects president obama will win 295 electoral votes and mitt romney will win 243. so krystal ball we are 12 days away from the ugliest creature that mitt romney has dragged into the presidential campaign, john sununu. he was driven out of washington, in scandal when he was the white house chief of staff for the first president bush. the man was driven out in scandal and it took mitt romney to drag him back in front of television cameras. >> it's been such a bizarre choice. he is the person he put forward the most. he's their lead surrogate and it's such a strange choice for his campaign and this is not the first time that he's stepped in it. he's the one who had to
a cnn poll has president obama leading mitt romney by four points, 50% to 46%. a new england college poll of new hampshire likely voters has president obama leading mitt romney by three points, 49 to 46. tonight, nate silver of the new york times blog forecasts that on november 6th, president obama has a 74% chance of winning re-election and over 13 point increase in the last two weeks. nate silver projects president obama will win 295 electoral votes and mitt romney will win 243. so krystal...